Economics 147: Bargaining Theory and Applications
Spring 2007
Professor: Pedro Dal Bó
Classes: T.&Th. 1:00- 2:20 PM at Mac Millan 117
Office Hours: Th. 2:30-4: PM in Robinson Hall 302B
TA: Francisco Campos Ortiz
TA Sessions:
F. 12:00-12:50 PM
and
F. 3:00- 3:50 PM at Metcalf Chem. Bldg. 305
TA Office Hours:
F. 1:00-2:50pm
in Robinson Hall Basement
Description of the course: The first part of the course will focus on
the general study of economic behavior in situations of strategic interaction
(know as Game Theory). The last two parts of the course will cover the strategic
and axiomatic theories of bargaining, their connections and their application
to the study of economic institutions and social phenomena.
Prerequisites: Economics 111 or 113.
Grading policy: The final grade will depend on class experiments (25%),
a midterm (35%) and a final exam (40%).
Textbooks: An Introduction to Game Theory by Martin Osborne (O).
Optional Textbooks: For the Game Theory part you can also study from the following books: Strategy by Joel Watson (undergrad level), Game Theory for Applied Economists by Robert Gibbons (basic graduate level) and Game Theory by Drew Fudenberg and Jean Tirole (advanced graduate level). A nice short introduction to game theory can be found in "An Introduction to Applicable Game Theory" by Robert Gibbons, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(1), 1997. For the Bargaining part you can also use Bargaining Theory with Applications by Abhinay Muthoo.
Part I: Fundamentals of Game Theory
I.1. Simultaneous-Move Games
I.1.a. Definitions and examples
I.1.b. Dominated strategies
I.1.c. Nash Equilibrium in pure strategies
I.1.d. The penalty game and NE in mixed strategies
I.1.e. Oligopolies: Cournot and Bertrand
Readings: O Chapters 1, 2, 3.1-3.3, 4.1-4.5, 4.8, 4.10 and 4.12
Extra Reading 1: Nagel, R., Bosch-Domench, A., Satorra, A. and García-Montalvo, J. (2002). "One, Two, (Three), Infinity: Newspaper and Lab Beauty-Contest Experiments."
Extra Reading 2: "Professionals Play Minimax" by Ignacio Palacios-Huerta for soccer fans and "Minimax Play at Wimbledon" by Mark Walker and John Wooders for tennis fans.
Extra Reading 3: "Nash
Equilibrium and the History of Economic Theory" by Roger B. Myerson,
Journal of Economic Literature, 37(3), 1999, discusses the importance of Nash
Equilibrium. You can go here and and here to read about the 1994 and 2005 Noble Prize to game theorists.
Homework 1 Answer key
Experiment 1
Experiment 2
I.2. Sequential-Move Games
I.2.a. Definitions and examples
I.2.b. Definition of strategies
I.2.c. NE, Backward Induction and Subgame Perfect Equilibrium
I.2.d. First look at bargaining: the ultimatum game
I.2.e. Repeated games
Readings: O Chapters 5, 6.1-6-2, 7.1, 7.2, 7.6 and 7.7.
Extra Reading 1: Roth, A.E., Prasnikar, V., Okuno-Fujiwara, M. and Zamir, S. "Bargaining
and Market Behavior in Jerusalem, Ljubljana, Pittsburgh, and Tokyo: An Experimental
Study". American Economic Review 81(5), 1991.
Extra Reading 2: Sanfey A.G et al. "The neural basis of economic decision-making in the ultimatum game ". Science 300, 13 June 2003.
Extra Reading 3: For those interested in the theory of evolution, you can see
an interesting application of the theory of repeated games in "The
Evolution of Cooperation" by Robert Axelrod and William D. Hamilton,
Science 211(27), 1981.
Extra Reading 4: "Cooperation under the Shadow of the Future: experimental evidence from infinitely repeated games" , American Economic Review , December 2005.
Homework 2 Answer key
I.3. Games with Incomplete Information
I.3.a. With simultaneous moves: Bayesian Equilibrium
I.3.b. Auctions: private and common values
Reading: O Chapter 9 (but 9.7).
Extra Reading 1: Vickrey,
W. "Counterespeculation,
Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders." Journal of Finance, 16,
1961. (Classic paper, focus on sections II and III.)
Extra Reading 2: Thaler, R. "The
Winner's Curse." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2(1), 1988.
Experiment 5
Homework 3 Answer key
Office hours before Midterm: Pedro: Monday 12th 1:15-2:15pm, Francisco: Wednesday 14th 1-6pm.
Midterm: March 15th, usual room and time.
Midterm
2003 Answer
Key
Midterm
2004 Answer
Key
Midterm 2005 Answer Key
Midterm 2006 Answer Key
Midterm 2007 Answer Key
Part II: Axiomatic Approach to Bargaining
II.1. Nash's Bargaining Solution
II.1.a. His solution
II.1.b. Applications
II.1.c. His axioms and theorem
II.2. Nash's demand game
Readings: O Section 16.3.
Nice extra reading: "The
Bargaining Problem." by John F. Nash, Jr. Econometrica, Vol. 18, No.
2. (Apr., 1950), pp. 155-162. This is an amazing classic paper!
Extra Reading 2: If unhappy about the IIA axiom then read "Other
Solutions to Nash's Bargaining Problem." by Ehud Kalai and Meir Smorodinky,
Econometrica, Vol. 43, No. 3. (May 1975), pp. 513-518.
Experiment 6
Homework 4 Answer key
Part II: Strategic Approach to Bargaining
III.1. Dictator and ultimatum games
III.2. Finite alternating offers model
III.3. Infinite alternating offers model
III.3.a. Nash equilibria
III.3.b. Subgame Perfect Equilibria
III.3.c. Risk of break down
III.3.d. Outside and inside options
III.4. War of Attrition
Readings: O Sections 16.1, 16.2 and 16.4.
Extra Reading 1: "The
Ultimatum Game and the Law of Demand" by Lester Telser, The Economic
Journal, 105, 1995, discusses ultimatum games and the preference for equality
in major league baseball.
Extra Reading 2: "An
Outside Option Experiment" by Ken Binmore, Avner Shaked and John Sutton,
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 104, No. 4. 1989.
Extra Reading 3: "Why
are Stabilizations Delayed?" by Alberto Alesina and Alan Drazen, American
Economic Review, 1991.
Homework 5 Answer key
Final: 9 a.m., Fri. 05/11/2007 . This is a
cumulative exam: all the material covered during the semester is included for
the final.
Final
03 Answer Key ( We didn't go over the topics in questions 3 and 7, so don't worry about
them).
Final
04 Answer Key
Final 05 Answer Key